The Beeze's College Pick'em (week 3)

This week's pick'em is going to be shorter...There just aren't that many games I like...And you don't bet just to bet...You gotta be smart about it...Last week I was right on 75% of my games...I'm not going to throw a bunch a games out there for ya if I wouldn't bet them myself...We'll start this week with a tough one...


-Georgia Tech at Notre Dame....

GT walks into South Bend as 2.5-3 point favorite...They are only the favorite because of the loss of Irish starting QB, Malik Zaire...That said, with or without Zaire, this game was always going to hinge on how well the Irish defense plays against the pesky Tech offense...GT is 8-3 in road openers...The Irish have a commanding lead in this series, with a 27-6-1 record...The Yellow jackets will push Notre Dame...This game will come down to the wire...I think the Irish can pull it out...Take them getting the 3 points...



-Memphis at Bowling Green...

Yep, Bowling Green has become my go-to to team when looking at games to bet...The Falcons put up points...They can run with almost anyone...BGSU is 8-1 hosting non-conference teams since 2010...Memphis is a helluva team flying under most people's radar...They can rack up the points as well...But I think they may meet their match this week...Take the Falcons getting 3 points....



-Northern Illinois at Ohio State...

NIU is 5-4 versus Big Ten schools over the last six years...Ohio State is 19-0 against MAC schools since 2000, but they have had a number of issues covering the spread...NIU isn't Hawaii...They'll put up a fight...Take the Huskies plus the 35 points...



-BYU at UCLA...

These are two really good teams...And if we have learned anything over the first two weeks of the season, when it comes to BYU, throw all the analytics out the window...AND, and don't care who they are playing, there is no logical reason to have them as 16.5 point underdog...This game will be on TV at 10:30 (est)...Take BYU plus the 16.5 points and enjoy the hell out of the show these two teams put on...

-There are other big games...Ole Miss at Alabama...'Bama is a 7 point favorite...I just don't trust them yet, and I'm not sure what to think of Ole Miss yet...I'm leaving this game alone...

-Stanford at USC...The Trojans are a 10 point favorite...But these PAC-12 games some times turn into a slugfest...Stanford has a lot to prove...The Gambler in me would take USC, but right now, I'm leaving it alone...

-The last game I'll talk about...

Auburn at LSU...

LSU is 9-5 versus Auburn, and on a 7-0 stretch when hosting the Tigers...LSU is a 7 point favorite...I expect Auburn to come out with a lot of fire after nearly losing to Jacksoville State last week...Then there is the Les Miles factor...While he is a good coach, he has an incredible knack to make stupid mistakes/decision, that often fuck over the gambler or the bookie...I'll take Auburn getting the 7 points...

Good luck!

The Beeze's College Football Pick'em (week 1)

Good looking form there...

And hopefully this weekly post will help you give it to some one...Like your bookie...Screw on-line gambling...I'm old school...I learned the gambling business when I was a little kid...My dad did some collections for extra money when we were young, and I would go with him to pick up "football tickets" and drop them off on Fridays...He did some gambling himself...and taught me his simple rules...

1. Don't bet the mortgage/rent.
2. Don't bet the grocery money.
3. Don't bet the kids tuition.
4. Don't bet with your heart. (took me a bit to get that)
5. Don't try to recover your loses with one big bet you can't cover/afford.
6. Don't bet on Monday Night Football...It was created for the Bookies.

Now that we have those tips out of the way...Let's get to the games I've picked for this week...(and no I won't be picking any of those cream-puff games...just real games that should be at least slightly competitive.) The lines I'm using are  are as of right now.


- TCU at Minnesota  (Thursday)

TCU is 7-3 in road openers and average a 19 point margin of victory...Last year against Minnesota they forced 5 turnovers.
Minnesota is 17-3 in home openers...They are 12-6 when hosting a non-conference opponent...Over the last three years, they are on a 9-0 run hosting non-conference opponents...That run comes to an end this week...Take TCU minus the points.  (17)

-Michigan at Utah (Thursday)

Utah is 20-4 in home openers...Michigan hasn't started the season with a road victory since 1995...In the last 15 years Michigan is 3-8 in regular season, non-conference away games...I don't care what big mouth Jim Harbaugh says, the Michigan turnaround won't start this week...Take Utah, minus the points... (4.5)


-Washington at Boise State (Friday)

This will be Washington's first time on the Blue Turf...The Huskies are 2-11 in road openers...This is also Head Coach Chris Peterson's first time back to Boise State where he had a 48-2 record on the blue turf...Washington is going to lose, but take them plus the points...(12)...Peterson and his team will hang in there...


-Auburn vs. Louisville  (Atlanta)

Louisville is 17-33-1 versus the SEC...This is their first opener not at home since 2005...Auburn has played in Atlanta 4 times since 2010 and have a 3-1 record...Auburn will make that 4-1 as they have too much firepower for the trendy Louisville pick...Take the Tigers minus the points...(10.5)


-Arizona State at Texas A&M  (Houston)

ASU is 1-6 in road openers...They are 3-9 versus SEC teams...(not that I fully count A&M as a SEC team yet...It's a mental thing)....The Aggies are 5-7 in road/neutral site openers, but they have won 3 straight...This is one of those games I look at and say, 'leave it alone!'  Yeah, I wouldn't touch this game, but screw it...It's called gambling for a reason....Take the Sun Devils plus the points! (3.5)

-Wisconsin vs. Alabama  (Arlington)

Wisconsin had a streak of 16 straight season opening wins until last year...Alabama has won 13 straight season openers...This is their 4th neutral site opener (3-0)...I think Alabama is over-hyped this year...They'll probably win this one, but take the Badgers with the points...(10.5)



-Texas at Notre Dame

The Irish are 8-2 vs. Texas, winning the last 4 meetings...They are 15-4 in home/season openers since 1995...Texas is 1-2 in South Bend, Indiana...That win was in 1934...The Longhorns are 12-2 in road openers, losing the last 2...

This is that point when I have to listen to that don't bet with your heart rule...Texas is getting better, they're on their way back...But Notre Dame wins this game...

...That said, take Texas with the points...(10)



-Ohio State at Virginia Tech  (Monday)

Virginia Tech is 18-1 in home openers...Ohio State is 7-2 since 2006 in road openers...When seeking revenge from a previous season's loss, the Buckeyes are 8-0 since 2010...The average margin of victory in those games is 14 points...The Hokies will hang in there with the home field advantage for the first half, maybe...But it won't last...Take Ohio State minus the points...(11)


Good luck, and enjoy the football...





disclaimer: I and this website are not responsible for any losses you take because you may be a degenerate gambler, an idiot, or may be dealing in illegal activities...These are just merely my thoughts on how I would bet, if I did that type of thing.